央行:出口太集中電子資通訊 – 中時電子報
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央行:出口太集中電子資通訊
2015年09月22日 04:10
中國時報 黃琮淵/台北報導
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外銷訂單連5黑,中央銀行昨日提出警告,台灣出口高度集中於電子資通訊產品,受單一產業景氣榮枯影響大,相較於南韓尚有運輸設備,新加坡還有礦產及化學品,台灣的產業發展與出口結構不夠多元。有無救援之道?央行直言依賴貨幣政策難竟其功,尚須財政政策及結構改革配合,也呼籲主要經濟體審慎調整其重大貨幣決策,降低負面外溢效應帶來之衝擊。
央行:出口太集中電子資通訊 - 中時電子報
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央行:出口太集中電子資通訊
2015年09月22日 04:10
中國時報 黃琮淵/台北報導
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外銷訂單連5黑,中央銀行昨日提出警告,台灣出口高度集中於電子資通訊產品,受單一產業景氣榮枯影響大,相較於南韓尚有運輸設備,新加坡還有礦產及化學品,台灣的產業發展與出口結構不夠多元。有無救援之道?央行直言依賴貨幣政策難竟其功,尚須財政政策及結構改革配合,也呼籲主要經濟體審慎調整其重大貨幣決策,降低負面外溢效應帶來之衝擊。
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央行解釋,台灣是小型且高度開放經濟體,商品與服務輸出占GDP比重高,出口表現深受貿易對手國經濟成長情況影響,國際景氣趨緩勢必衝擊出口,今年以來,亞洲國家多呈衰退。為何台灣這麼慘?主因是台灣出口高度集中在享有ITA免關稅的電子資通訊產品,出口比重達39.9%,高於南韓的25.3 %及新加坡17%,這類產品周期短,且市場需求變化快速。細究結構,台灣出口高度集中在大陸,且多對大陸出口中間財,大陸經濟成長趨緩,進口需求下滑,加上產業結構調整及紅色供應鏈崛起,都讓台灣對大陸出口年增率下降。央行指出,台灣因為對中國大陸出口比重達38.9%,高於南韓及新加坡,所以近年大陸進口需求減少後,使台灣受到的衝擊較大。另外就是全球對電腦與手機需求下滑,使得對大陸出口資通及精密儀器減幅擴大。(中國時報),